Bitcoin could hit $135K in 100 days, says analyst watching VIX drop

By: bitcoin ethereum news|2025/05/15 09:45:43

BTC could hit a new ATH in the next three months, per a macro analyst. The True MVRV value was at 1.7, suggesting slight room for growth before BTC hits a local peak. Bitcoin [BTC] has consolidated around $105K for four days, signaling a buildup for an extra rally or a likely pullback. But analysts have made price calls for $135K-$200K in the next 3–6 months, citing improving macro front. On the 12th of May, BTC dumped 4% from $105K to $100.7K, a typical sell-the-news after the US-China trade deal. However, the asset reversed the losses on the 13th of May after a modest 0.2% month-on-month April CPI inflation print, against the expected 0.3%. The annual rate came in at 2.3%, falling below the forecasted 2.4%, a positive outlook on Fed rate cut expectations from Q3. Low inflation, positive macro to fuel BTC? In an email statement, 21Shares crypto investment specialist David Hernandez told AMBCrypto, “If this trajectory (easing inflation, nation-state adoption) continues, price targets of $200,000 by year-end now seem increasingly realistic.” Likewise, Timothy Peterson, a BTC network analyst, noted that the US-China trade deal triggered the VIX (volatility index) to drop to a ‘normal’ 30-year average. The VIX decline and lower inflation were a perfect set-up for a ‘risk-on’ rally, added Peterson. “Inflation just came in lower than expected. This will be a ‘risk on’ environment for the foreseeable future.” Source: X For those unfamiliar, VIX tracks future price swings and, by extension, the market fear gauge. Simply put, with the US-China tariff war out of the way, market fear (higher VIX) has been replaced by risk-on (lower VIX) sentiment. In an X post on the 1st of May, Peterson highlighted that a potential VIX dip to 18 could push BTC to $107K in 3 weeks and +$135K in 100 days. “A continuation of this path, and VIX <= 18, implies Bitcoin at $107k in 2-3 weeks and $135,000+ in 100 days.” What’s next in the short term? However, the jump to a new ATH may not be a smooth ride, according to a report by crypto research firm Swissblock. The firm cited past BTC price momentum and stated a potential correction at $104K-$106K before a rebound to a record level was likely. “Can $BTC push to uncharted territory? A reset could fuel the next leg.” Source: Swissblock The attached chart showed that BTC was in full bullish momentum, but current levels also marked a retracement in the last November-December rally. But True MVRV, a valuation metric that flagged early and late 2024 local peaks and bottoms, disagreed with the Swissblock outlook. Source: CryptoQuant The metric’s reading was at 1.7, slightly far from the potential local peak level of 2. In other words, BTC still had room for growth before a likely massive pullback. On the Options market, traders positioned themselves for either scenario. In the past 24 hours, $95K put options (bearish bets) were the largest by trading volume, while calls for $105K and $115K (bullish bets) ranked second and third. Put differently, traders expected BTC to hit $115K in May but were prepared for a potential dip to $95K. Source: Deribit Overall, the positive macro environment could fuel further risk-on sentiment and push BTC to a new ATH. However, there were still chances of BTC dipping below $100K. Source: https://ambcrypto.com/bitcoin-could-hit-135k-in-100-days-says-analyst-watching-vix-drop/

Currently, most Web3 projects are still in the stage of functional fragmentation, often focusing only on a single aspect, such as IP asset tokenization, transaction functionality, or a simple incentive model. This structural dispersion has become a key bottleneck hindering the industry's scale application.

BeatSwap's approach is more integrated, integrating multiple core modules into the same system, including:

· IP authentication and on-chain registration

· Authorization-based revenue sharing mechanism

· User-engagement-driven incentive system

· Transaction and liquidity infrastructure

Through the above integration, the platform builds an end-to-end closed-loop path, allowing IP rights to complete a full cycle of "creation, use, and monetization" within the same ecosystem.

Expanding from Web3 to a broader market: Restructuring the music industry's supply-demand structure

BeatSwap is not limited to existing crypto users but is attempting to take the global music industry as a starting point, actively creating new market demand. Its core strategies include:

Exploring and incubating music creators (Artist discovery)

Building a fan community

Igniting IP-centric content consumption demand

The current global music industry is valued at around $260 billion, with over 2 billion digital music users. This means that the potential market corresponding to the tokenization and financialization of IP far exceeds the traditional crypto user base.

In this context, BeatSwap positions itself at the intersection of "real-world content demand" and "on-chain infrastructure," attempting to bridge the structural gap between content production and financial flow.

"Space" to Launch in Q2 2026: Building the Core of SocialFi

BeatSwap's upcoming core product "Space" is scheduled to launch in the second quarter of 2026. This product is defined as the SocialFi layer in the ecosystem, aiming to directly connect creators with users and achieve deep integration with other platform modules.

Key designs include:

A fan-centric interactive mechanism

Exposure and distribution logic based on $BTX staking

User paths connected to DeFi and liquidity structures

Thus, a complete user behavior loop is formed within the platform: Discovery → Participation → Consumption → Rewards → Trading

$BTX Token Mechanism: Evolving from an Incentive Tool to a Value Carrier

$BTX is designed to be a core utility asset within the ecosystem, rather than just a simple incentive token, with its value directly tied to platform activity and IP use cases.

Main features include:

· Yield distribution based on on-chain authorized actions

· Value reflection based on IP usage and user engagement dynamics

· Support for staking and DeFi participation mechanisms

· Value growth driven by ecosystem expansion

With the increased frequency of IP use, the utility and value support of $BTX will enhance simultaneously, helping alleviate the "disconnect between value and utility" issue present in traditional Web3 token models to some extent.

Accelerating Global Exchange Layout: Enhancing Liquidity and Accessibility

Currently, $BTX has been listed on several mainstream exchanges, including:

Binance Alpha

Gate

MEXC

OKX Boost

As the launch of "Space" approaches, BeatSwap is actively pursuing more exchange listings to further enhance liquidity and global accessibility, laying a foundation for future market expansion.

Beyond Web3: Aiming for a Larger-Scale Integration of Content and Finance Markets

BeatSwap's goal is no longer limited to the traditional Web3 narrative but aims to target over 2 billion digital music users and a trillion KRW-scale content market.

By integrating content creators, users, capital, and liquidity into a blockchain framework centered around IP rights, BeatSwap is striving to build a next-generation infrastructure focused on "IP tokenization."

Conclusion

BeatSwap integrates IP authentication, authorization distribution, incentive mechanism, transaction system, and market construction to establish a unified structure that bridges the full lifecycle path of IP rights.

With the launch of the Q2 2026 "Space," the project is expected to become a key infrastructure connecting content and finance in the IP-RWA (Real World Assets) track.

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