logo

Fed Speak: U.S. Economy May Have Achieved Soft Landing, But No One Is Eager to Declare Victory

By: theblockbeats.news|2026/02/16 00:01:03
0
Share
copy

BlockBeats News, February 15th, in his article in the "Fed Watcher" column, Nick Timiraos mentioned that various key indicators of the U.S. economy are pointing in the same positive direction: inflation is decreasing, the labor market remains strong, and economic growth is steady. This is not a final conclusion, but it is the closest the U.S. economy has ever come to achieving a soft landing (that is, restraining inflation while avoiding an economic downturn). Just four years ago, many economists thought this was impossible. Today, the scenario where the U.S. economy allows inflation to fall back to the Fed's 2% target without falling into a recession has become believable once again.

However, even though the economy doesn't need an oxygen mask, it is still too early to unfasten the seatbelt. The Fed's favored inflation indicator, core PCE year-on-year, is currently close to 3%. Many forecasters expect that as the price increases associated with tariffs spread to more areas, inflation will have little progress this year. At the same time, the labor market may not be as robust as last week's report indicated. Jeffrey Cleveland, Chief Economist at Payden&Rygel, objectively stated that the labor market has been weak, and this year, the unemployment rate is more likely to rise than fall.

You may also like

The flow of stablecoins and the spillover effects in the foreign exchange market

Research has found that an exogenous increase in net inflows of stablecoins significantly widens the price deviation between stablecoins and traditional foreign exchange, leads to depreciation of the local currency, and worsens the financing conditions for synthetic dollars (i.e., increases the doll...

After two years, Hong Kong's first batch of stablecoin licenses finally issued: HSBC, Standard Chartered make the cut

The regulated entity is set to launch a stablecoin in the first half of this year.

The person who helped TAO rise by 90% has now single-handedly crashed the price again today

As long as people are around, the story continues. But once they're gone, you may not even find a worthy opponent to play against.

3-Minute Guide to Participating in the SpaceX IPO on Bitget

Bitget IPO Prime brings a rare opportunity for global users to participate in world-class unicorn IPOs, allowing ordinary users to equally access the potential economic benefits of top-tier IPOs.

Top 5 Cryptos to Buy in 2026 Q1: A ChatGPT Deep Dive Analysis

Explore the top 5 cryptos to buy in Q1 2026 including BTC, ETH, SOL, TAO, and ONDO. See price outlooks, key narratives, and institutional catalysts shaping the next market move.

How to Earn $15,000 with Idle USDT Before Altcoin Season 2026

Wondering if altcoin season is coming in 2026? Get the latest market update, and learn how to turn your idle stablecoins waiting for entry into extra rewards up to 15,000 USDT.

Popular coins

Latest Crypto News

16:42

The latest disclosed candidate asset list from Gray includes HYPE, STX, VIRTUAL, and others

According to official news, the digital asset investment platform Grayscale has recently updated its list of candidate assets, covering six major cryptocurrency sectors, with new candidate assets particularly concentrated in the AI and finance categories.The AI sector has the most new candidate asse...
16:42

Data: The current 8-hour average funding rate for BTC across the entire network is -0.0043%

According to Coinglass data, the current 8-hour average funding rate for BTC across the network is -0.0043%. Among the current mainstream exchanges, the rate on Binance is -0.0061%, OKX is 0.0047%, Bybit is -0.0032%, and Gate is 0.0001%.
16:42

U.S. media: Vance plays a key role in facilitating U.S.-Iran negotiations

According to a report by CNN on the 11th, citing a senior Pakistani source, U.S. Vice President Vance played a key role in facilitating the U.S.-Iran negotiations set to start in Islamabad, Pakistan.The source familiar with the negotiation process stated that they estimate it will take several days ...
16:42

Data: In the past 24 hours, the total liquidation across the network was 179 million USD, with long positions liquidated at 56.2963 million USD and short positions liquidated at 123 million USD

According to Coinglass data, in the past 24 hours, the total liquidation across the network was $179 million, with long liquidations amounting to $56.2963 million and short liquidations amounting to $123 million. Among them, Bitcoin long liquidations were $7.4717 million, Bitcoin short liquidations ...
16:42

The second batch of Hong Kong compliant stablecoin licenses is now under application

According to Caixin, the second batch of Hong Kong compliant stablecoin licenses is currently under application. Reliable sources reveal that Futu Securities and OSL Group are both contenders for the second batch of licenses. However, in November last year, the People's Bank of China and 13 other mi...
Read more
Community
iconiconiconiconiconiconicon

Customer Support Bot：@WEEX_support_smart_Bot

VIP Services：support@weex.com