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    3. Probability of the U.S. Ending Sanctions on Iran Drops to 59% on Polymarket

    Probability of the U.S. Ending Sanctions on Iran Drops to 59% on Polymarket

    By: rootdata|2026/08/09 08:03:37
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    Polymarket, a prediction market tool, shows that the probability of the "U.S. ending sanctions on Iran by August 31" has dropped to 59%, a decrease of 16% within 24 hours. The probability of "ending sanctions on Iran by September 30" has fallen to 77%, down 11% in the same timeframe. Iranian Foreign Minister Amir-Abdollahian stated that Iran will continue to maintain its resistance stance, mentioning that Iran has faced military strikes from the U.S. and Israel, resulting in casualties. He emphasized that the recent conflict's victims will not be forgotten, stating, "We will neither forget nor forgive." Amir-Abdollahian reiterated that Iran will uphold its national independence and dignity in the face of external pressures.

    -- Price

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